Yar'Adua's return is stirring up a hornet's nest of political intrigue. The constitution isn't really providing any direction because for Yar'Adua to be constitutionally determined unfit for office, a team of doctors has to assess his health and submit their report to the National Assembly for debate. However, Yar'Adua's compound is being closely guarded and no one has been able to see him. Party leaders, much of his staff, and even Goodluck Jonathan have been kept out. This could be considered unconstitutional behavior and grounds for impeachment but the pundits are saying that Jonathan would not pursue this path because it would look bad in the eyes of the Nigerian people, who would see an impeachment as a power hungry president going after Yar'Adua while he is down. But even if the medical team is let in, they could declare that he is only temporarily incapacitated and then we would just have to wait until he gets better, leaving the Nigerian government "incomplete" because there is no one behind Jonathan in the succession hierarchy. But my favorite scenario is what politicians call the "Ariel Sharon". It sounds like a football play, like the "Hail Mary" or something. An "Ariel Sharon" play would mean just dropping the whole case and letting Jonathan rule for now while leaving Yar'Adua to do what he likes, and just waiting until the elections come around. Then Yar'Adua would be taken care of. I don talk my own finish.
original article
No comments:
Post a Comment